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A Markov Chain Approach on Daily Rainfall Occurrence

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A Markov Chain Approach on Daily Rainfall Occurrence


Phyu Thwe | Ei Khaing Win | Hnin Pwint Myu Wai



Phyu Thwe | Ei Khaing Win | Hnin Pwint Myu Wai "A Markov Chain Approach on Daily Rainfall Occurrence" Published in International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (ijtsrd), ISSN: 2456-6470, Volume-3 | Issue-6, October 2019, pp.280-282, URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd28075.pdf

Markov modeling is one of the tools that can be used to help planners for assess precipitation. The first order Markov chain model was used to predict daily precipitation intervals using transition probability matrices. The demand for precipitation is increasing, not only for data invention, but also to provide useful information in numerous applications, including water properties organization and the hydrological and agricultural subdivisions. In this study, the objective is to predict the probability of future precipitation of the city of Pyin Oo Lwin using the Markov chain model. The system was developed on the basis of the Markov method to forecast the occurrence of precipitation. The results show that models can forecast the state of a given day by 74% on average.

prediction, markov chain, precipitation


IJTSRD28075
Volume-3 | Issue-6, October 2019
280-282
IJTSRD | www.ijtsrd.com | E-ISSN 2456-6470
Copyright © 2019 by author(s) and International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development Journal. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY 4.0) (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0)

International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development - IJTSRD having online ISSN 2456-6470. IJTSRD is a leading Open Access, Peer-Reviewed International Journal which provides rapid publication of your research articles and aims to promote the theory and practice along with knowledge sharing between researchers, developers, engineers, students, and practitioners working in and around the world in many areas like Sciences, Technology, Innovation, Engineering, Agriculture, Management and many more and it is recommended by all Universities, review articles and short communications in all subjects. IJTSRD running an International Journal who are proving quality publication of peer reviewed and refereed international journals from diverse fields that emphasizes new research, development and their applications. IJTSRD provides an online access to exchange your research work, technical notes & surveying results among professionals throughout the world in e-journals. IJTSRD is a fastest growing and dynamic professional organization. The aim of this organization is to provide access not only to world class research resources, but through its professionals aim to bring in a significant transformation in the real of open access journals and online publishing.

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