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        Advantages: First of all, customs duties will be reduced at   union will accelerate accession to the WTO. Why? At present,
        the border for products entering our country. As a result, the   the average tariff rate in the country is 20% (if you add other
        prices  of  goods  and  services  in  the  domestic  market  will   duties, it will be higher). The average tariff in the Eurasian
        naturally fall. Consumers will benefit from this, as they will   Economic Union is about 6%, and the average tariff rate in
        be able to buy more expensive products at a lower price, as   the WTO member states is about 9%. tariffs approach 6%).
        well as increase their choice. In the short run, this will lead to   This  will  automatically  eliminate  the  main  problem  of
        a reduction in the market segment size of manufacturers (as   accession to the WTO. That is, in theory, joining the union
        a result of increased external competition). In the long run,   will make it easier (or faster) to join the WTO.
        the competitiveness of domestic producers will increase and
                                                               How will joining the union affect exports and imports?
        exports  will  increase  in  areas  with  a  relative  advantage.
        Areas that do not have a relative advantage may disappear   The  conclusion  that  joining  the  union  will  dramatically
                                                               increase exports is not true. This is because the free trade
        (not all). It is natural that there will be positive changes in
                                                               agreement between the countries of the former Soviet Union
        the logistics system.
                                                               has been in force since 2011. This means that until now,
        Disadvantages: First, the Russian effect. Historically, at a   tariffs on exports to the countries of the Eurasian Economic
        time when European countries were imposing sanctions on   Union have not been significantly affected. Joining the union
        Russia,  Kazakhstan,  a  member  of  the  organization,  also   may lead to a slight reduction in tariffs (a very small change),
        received sanctions from several countries. In general, the   but it will not lead to a sharp increase in exports. However,
        extent to which Russia participates in the political process   import duties are the same not only for the member states of
        will have a direct impact on the organization's activities in   the Union, but also for other countries. That is, under the
        the future. In other words, the imposition of sanctions on   terms of the customs union, goods entering the territory of
        Russia by other major leaders will affect other members of   the union (regardless of the territory of the state) are subject
        the organization.                                      to the same tariffs. For  example,  if a  product from China
                                                               enters the territory of Russia with a 5% duty, it means that it
        Membership  in  the  organization  could  increase  Russia's
                                                               enters  Uzbekistan  with  the  same  duty.  Given  the  current
        influence in our economy. This will more or less undermine   level of tariffs in our country, joining the union will provide a
        economic freedom.
                                                               huge incentive for imports in the short term. Of course, this
        If we look at the history of the Organization, we can see that   process can seriously hurt domestic producers. Consumers,
        Russia  has  repeatedly  violated  the  agreements  reached   on the other hand, benefit from having the opportunity to
        within the Organization. The recurrence of such cases in the   buy cheaper than before. From an economic point of view,
        future will lead to the deterioration of the position of the   joining a union increases the well-being of society as a whole.
        organization  (in  practice,  will  lead  to  the  failure  of  the   Because the damage to domestic producers and the state
        organization). Or the actions of the Republic of Belarus: at   budget will be less than the benefits to consumers.
        the time of the EU sanctions against Russia, the Republic of   However, these analyzes do not lead to the conclusion that it
        Belarus took advantage of this situation, that is, no sanctions
                                                               is necessary to join the union, because the above conclusions
        were imposed on Belarus  from Europe. There have been
                                                               are based only on purely economic calculations. It does not
        many cases of the Republic of Belarus importing European   take into account the fact that a state violates the laws of the
        products (many of which have been converted to “Made in   Union in its own interests, restricts trade and the political
        Belarus”) into Russia through Belarus (which has caused
                                                               consequences.  Maybe  the  political  consequences  will  be
        significant damage to the Russian government).
                                                               more costly for our country than the economic benefits, and
        In addition, we have competing countries in the organization,   if  so,  joining  the  union  will  not  be  justified.  The  issue  of
        which are mainly engaged in the export of raw materials. In   joining this union is the work of more politicians, and it is
        this regard, the opening of borders to these states may not   impossible  to  form  a  complete  picture  with  economic
        lead to any positive situation in practice.            calculations alone.
        Conclusions and recommendations                        List of used literature:
        In  my  opinion,  the  fact  that  Uzbekistan  is  joining  the   [1]   https://centrasia.org/news.A.php?st=1570799400&t
        Eurasian  Economic  Union  as  an  observer  is  the  right   g_rhash=b71ef5de4df03e
        decision.  The  issue  of  migrants  has  often  been  at  the   [2]   https://russian.eurasianet.org/node/60611
        forefront of this alliance. I do not believe that joining the   [3]   https://daryo.uz/2020/04/04/ozbekiston-senati-
        union will ease the situation for migrants. But I expected the   yeoii-bilan-hamkorlik-masalasini-organishga-
        decision not to join to make things worse for them. We know   kirishdi/
        Russian politicians who do  not tolerate any inferiority in   [4]   https://www.institutfuersicherheit.at/did-the-
        achieving their goals. After the sharp decision not to join the   eurasian-economic-union-eaeu-create-a-common-
        union,  there  was  a  growing  pressure  on  our  migrants  in   market-for-goods-services-capital-and-labor-within-
        Russia. And given Russia's influence in Central Asia, we could   the-union/
        expect the pressure to be more than that. I think (if I think   [5]   https://www.export.gov/apex/article2?id=Uzbekista
        so)  that  this  decision  was  made  wisely  and  will  help  the   n-Import-Tariffs
        national economy gain time until it recovers somewhat.   [6]   https://berlin-economics.com/wp-
                                                                    content/uploads/2018-05-29_Presentation-
        Will joining the alliance make accession to the WTO easier or   EAEU_Moscow.pdf
        harder?
                                                               [7]   https://rg.ru/2014/11/12/duma-patenti.html
        One of the main conditions for accession to the WTO is the   [8]   https://ria.ru/20140529/1009667833.html
        reduction of import tariffs. From this perspective, joining the




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